A very exciting approach. Tools like ScenApp can play an important role when it comes to translating complex geopolitical or economic developments into structured scenarios. A possible next step is then the quantitative evaluation of such scenarios. ScenApp does a very good job of describing what could happen in a scenario: • which events occur • what dynamics emerge • which early indicators are relevant Building on that, you can ask the question: What would this scenario concretely mean for our company? This is where quantitative risk analyses come in. In the Enterprise Risk Explorer, such scenarios can be modeled and simulated to see, for example: • how large the aggregated financial impact would be • what effect escalation chains have • whether equity and liquidity are sufficient • which measures actually increase resilience This creates a sensible combination: ScenApp generates the scenario and describes the possible development. Enterprise Risk Explorer quantitatively assesses how strongly the company would be affected. In this way, a geopolitical scenario turns into a concrete basis for management decisions. This also fits with a post I published on scenario analysis and hybrid stress scenarios: https://lnkd.in/dUCGwCxk
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