Simulation done, now what? Risk analyses today deliver a large number of possible results. You see ranges, scenarios, and spreads, but the decisive management question often remains open: How likely is that, actually? How likely are losses? How realistic is the break-even point? And how often do we reach our target? The answer comes from the Probability function. It lets you calculate decision-relevant probabilities directly from a simulation result, with a single formula in Excel. You simply reference the cell with the simulation result and define what you want to know, such as “greater than 0,” “below the zero line,” or “above a target value.” Want to try it out yourself? 👉 You'll find the link in the comments.
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