๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น ๐๐น๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐๐ธ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐น - ๐ ๐ฎ๐ท๐ผ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ - ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ - ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐บ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ The 2025 German federal election is drawing closer, and polls point to an initial direction. But how reliable are these forecasts? Which coalitions are realistic? And how much can voter preferences still shift before election day? In our latest video, we present a data-based election simulation built on current poll numbers and their statistical uncertainty. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we calculate thousands of possible election outcomes, analyze seat distributions, and assess potential majority scenarios. ๐ What can you expect in the video? โ The factors that influence election polls and their uncertainty โ Simulation of the seat distribution in the Bundestag under the 2025 electoral reform โ Analysis of likely coalitions and possible "kingmaker" parties โ Scenarios for narrow or stable majorities ๐ Watch the video here: https://lnkd.in/eJRdxcTG What do you think, which coalitions are realistic? How much will the poll numbers still shift? ๐ #GermanFederalElection #DataAnalysis #ElectionForecast #Simulation
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